About one week ago, the first truckload of finished frac sand left Atlas Sand’s gate in Kermit. Check out the latest on their ramp in this update. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you …
Read More »Latest Thoughts
Going Local: We Picked Up On A Big Tone Shift From Sand Buyers On In-Basin Proppant This Week
This is a pretty interesting read. Are you subscribed yet? Our research service is available for less than a buck per report! Our goal is to democratize high-quality oilfield market analysis, making it available and affordable to a broad audience. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see …
Read More »A Fracing Game Of Chicken Is Afoot As Market Visibility Fades [Chart Of The Day]
The frac market is in flux. Who’s still planning to grow? Who’s not? Will plans be realized? We quantify and discuss… There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are …
Read More »Permian Nameplate Expansions Are Starting To Add Up. US Silica Is The Latest To Grow
US Silica’s Lamesa sand plant more than doubled in announced capacity this week, becoming the Xth Permian in-basin plant we track with an announced expansion vs. original nameplate capacity. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research …
Read More »Big And Unexpected Management Changes At Solaris
More details to follow… There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are new to Infill Thinking, or your membership has expired, please email us to discuss our current …
Read More »Is A Supermajor On The Verge Of Vertical Integration In The Permian?
Supermajor capital has washed ashore to hunt short cycle returns in the Lower 48, having abandoned longer-cycle deepwater and international in the era of austerity following the 2014 oil price crash. These large companies have historically been thought of as less nimble than their smaller peers – the Independents who …
Read More »Atlas Sand Has Shipped First Tons From Kermit Plant
First tons and an on-time startup for Atlas mark this new entrant’s official arrival. We have analysis of the startup that goes beyond the press release here. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you …
Read More »Sand Dollars: An Update On Permian Proppant Pricing Trends
After Hi-Crush’s news last week of a major contract win (pun intended) at a surprisingly strong price, we dug much deeper into the latest Permian Basin frac sand pricing trends this week. Please login to see this deep dive on Permian Basin frac sand price trends. There’s a lot more …
Read More »Four For Four: A Big US Land Rig Win Reveals A Resilient Contracting Environment Despite 2H18 Crosscurrents
Each week we post analysis of the rig count, offering our own take on the trends. We also always include a thought piece, and this week digest some big contracting news. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive …
Read More »Modern Day Spindletop In The Permian Basin?
Occasionally readers send us photos from the field that are too good to keep to ourselves. This is one of those times… log in to see what we mean. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research …
Read More »There’s New Buyer Roaming Around Sand Town [Exclusive C-Suite Chat]
Last week an executive affiliated with the newest acquirer on the frac sand block emailed us to let us know they are targeting frac sand logistics assets. During our phone conversation with the acquisition firm, we learned that… There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full …
Read More »H&P Addresses Their New “Piggy Back” Land Rigs, Which Are Still In Experimentation Mode
About 10 days before the H&P conference call this week, we wrote a report about something new the land contract driller is doing in the field – an onshore drilling first. In that report on these so called “piggy-back rigs,” we suggested H&P management might introduce and talk extensively about this …
Read More »Sandless Spreads, White Space, Permian Mobes, and Price Stagnation. Lots Of Frac Market Talk Over The Past 48 Hours, Most Of It Unpleasant
Never a dull moment in pressure pumping. See what we landed in our “datapoint fishing net” during the past 48 hours. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you …
Read More »Fort Worth Member Meet-Up Monday
Calling all DFW-area Infill Thinking members: we’d like to buy you a mid-morning coffee, shake your hand and chat oilfield trends with you. This is our sixth member event so far in 2018. We look forward to networking with members over coffee in Downtown Fort Worth in mid-August. There’s a …
Read More »After Watching This Video, We Up Our MidCon Capacity Estimates & Reiterate Our “Late Sand” Warning From A Month Ago
While breaking the news about a MidCon mine construction halt exactly one month ago, we introduced a thesis to the market that MidCon frac sand mines would likely be delayed vs. initial expectations. With the potential for Oklahoma mine delays now well documented, we reiterate our first-to-market thesis that MidCon sand …
Read More »Hi-Crush Is Transforming Yet Staying The Course. Taking Apart Their Humdinger Of A News Release Piece-By-Piece [6-Part Analysis]
To say the Hi-Crush management team had a busy weekend might just be the understatement of the year. On Monday morning, the company dropped 3 press releases containing over 3,500 words. That’s 8 pages in Microsoft Word at 12 point font with single line spacing (yes we copy/pasted out of …
Read More »A Permian Drilling Rig Burned Monday Morning [DEVELOPING]
This is a developing story we are monitoring this morning. Details will be added as available (for now details are limited, but here is what we’ve learned so far)… There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research …
Read More »HAL Took A $3bn Market Cap Hit Before Breakfast On “Temporary” US Onshore Challenges [Live Blog Complete]
We live-blogged our key takeaways from the Halliburton earnings call on Monday morning. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are new to Infill Thinking, or your membership …
Read More »Watch Out For More Vertical Integration News In Frac Sand Before This Month Is Done
Frac sand mining is evolving rapidly and the oilfield service company role in it is changing too. See what we expect to happen next in the full update. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, …
Read More »Schlumberger Says International Oilfield Service Markets Have Finally Turned The Corner [Live Blog Complete]
The Schlumberger conference call begins at 7:30 am this morning, and we are live blogging the highlights here. Before the call starts, we posted two observations from the press release. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our …
Read More »NWS Displacement Alert: Permian Proppant Tons Shipped By Rail Have Begun To Fall
In our 2Q18 oilfield earnings season preview earlier this week, we wrote that Northern White Sand displacement anecdotes in the Permian Basin were likely to be heard on this upcoming round of conference calls (see point 6). It didn’t take long for this prediction to pan out… the first datapoint …
Read More »Permian Frac Sand Mining Activity Surges In 2Q18 [Chart Of The Day & Startup Watch List]
We digest and analyze reported mine activity and headcounts in the Permian Basin. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are new to Infill Thinking, or your membership …
Read More »Piggy Back Land Rigs Spotted In The Eagle Ford Behaving Like Drillships [Pictures & Drilling Company Confirmation]
During the past week or so, pictures have surfaced on social media showing a US onshore industry first in land drilling: simultaneous drilling accomplished by joining together two land rigs. We talked with management to learn more and discuss the implications in this update. There’s a lot more to this …
Read More »Will Smart Sand Move Forward On Kermit Plant Construction Once Their Permit Is Approved?
Smart Sand has been on the fence on whether to build a Permian mine since last year. Here are the latest details on their plans as we await the next round of management commentary on the status of their intent to build. There’s a lot more to this story… Login …
Read More »OFS Conference Calls Start Friday. Here Are The Top 10 Big Picture Themes We Are Monitoring This Earnings Season
Schlumberger will kick off oilfield service earnings season with their conference call on Friday July 20, with Halliburton’s report following on the next business day. Here are the top themes we will be listening for on 2Q18 conference calls: There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the …
Read More »Rough News Week For Permian Last Mile Logistics: TX 115 Section COMPLETELY Closed, Truck Kills Two, And Sand Cars Derail
It’s been a rough news week for Permian frac sand logistics. Incidents like this week’s fatal crash in Odessa remind us that driving is the most dangerous oilfield activity. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research …
Read More »The Top 5 Permian Frac Sand Mines In Each Sub-Market Ranked By Drive Times
We refreshed our drive time analysis for the X local Permian Basin frac sand mines that we consider “firm” (either operational or showing progress moving towards first production). For this analysis, we force ranked the Top 5 mines for each key Permian sub-market based on proximity. There’s a lot more …
Read More »Read The Anonymous Letter That Has Oklahoma Locals Riled Up About The Frac Sand Rush And Could Delay Capacity
In this update yesterday, we noted a changing local climate towards the frac sand mining rush in Oklahoma. It’s even worse than we initially thought. After doing some more digging, we have decided that… There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this …
Read More »More Questions Than Answers In The Wake Of Last Mile Logistics Jury Verdict
Clearly the forceful jury verdict in the last mile solution case this week is a significant win for the plaintiff, but final outcomes for the defendant could still span a wide range of possibilities… and have big implications for the last mile marketplace. There’s a lot more to this story… …
Read More »MidCon Mine Permit Situation Report As Public Awareness Swells Up Around The Frac Sand Rush
We submitted a series of public record requests to Oklahoma mining regulators this week to learn more about pending frac sand mine permit applications in the MidCon. Even before we submitted our questions, we observed a notable development in motion regarding MidCon regulation… There’s a lot more to this story… …
Read More »Would You Call An Asset Your “First” If There Wasn’t Going To Be A Second?
There’s always a risk of reading too much between the lines when analyzing executive comments. But the use of the word “first” to describe an in-basin mine in a recent investor presentation could have big implications. Does it foreshadow some in-basin capacity consolidation? There’s a lot more to this story… …
Read More »Red Card. A Look At The First Half DUC Build By Basin
Continuing our World Cup / drilling analogy theme from last week, in this week’s rig count update we take a look at the trend in drilled wells that have been suspended from the completions “field of play.” There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To …
Read More »What People Cared About In 2Q18 [Member Update & Top 10 Stories]
2Q18 was active in the field. Our research desk was hopping too. Infill Thinking published 99 updates, shipped 25 subscriber newsletters, and hosted 2 in-person reader meet-ups during the past quarter. You’ve got some fast growing company here. Our membership hit a new record high during 2Q18, growing by 19% …
Read More »It’s Halftime. Here’s The Scorecard In The Lower 48 Rig Market Year-To-Date
2018 is halfway in the books. In the first half of the year, the US unconventional rig count increased 105 rigs to 827, a 15% increase. In the second half, “Bench Basins” are going to have to step up due to takeaway injuries suffered by this game’s superstar. There’s a …
Read More »Shifting Sands: MidCon Last Mile Implications As STACK/SCOOP Proppant Procurement Evolves [Guest Post]
A team of last mile specialists breaks down the MidCon sand procurement scene, digging deep into well, transload, and mine data to determine mileage differentials as procurement shifts to local sands. Don’t miss this chart and map… There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… …
Read More »The Wait Is Over. New Lines Have Been Drawn In The West Texas Sand [2018 DSL Map Analysis And PDF]
As discussed in this Infill Thinking update four months ago, the Texas Comptrollers Office is in the process of re-writing the Texas Conservation Plan for the DSL – a key step in light of the recent petition to list the species as endangered filed by two private environmental groups. The old “Hibbits …
Read More »Scoop: Regulators Halt Mid-Con Sand Plant Construction As OK Permitting Proves Tougher Than TX
In the Permian Basin, frac sand mines took off with very little permitting friction. In fact, if you take the dunes sagebrush lizard out of the conversation, we actually can’t recall a single headline about regulatory hurdles slowing down project. Will the same be true as the Mid-Con mining story …
Read More »Who Is Forenergy, And What Do They Have Going On In The Mid-Con?
After publishing our Mid-Con in-basin sand plant map PDF a couple weeks ago, some readers have been asking the question: who is Forenergy? Searches on InfillThinking.com for the company have picked up as well. So we talked with the founder and CEO to get you some answers. There’s a lot …
Read More »Blockchain Arrives In The Oilfield Supply Chain, Surfacing In Offshore Drilling First
Back in January 2018, we discussed some of blockchain’s potential applications in the oilfield supply chain. This morning, Diamond Offshore announced the first application of blockchain technology in offshore drilling. Diamond’s new blockchain features include some of the same possibilities we imagined five months ago. There’s a lot more to this story… …
Read More »For The Permian Rig Count, Flat Is The New Up. Calling The Temporary Top
It seems odd to make the following statement right after a bullish OPEC meeting that sent WTI surging 5% higher on Friday: We believe that the Permian Basin rig count has very likely… There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update …
Read More »Of Sand And Water [Friday Guest Post]
One of the biggest challenges relative to Permian sand mine infrastructure, which is critical to the successful development of these facilities, is the availability of a viable supply of water for not only sand production, but potable use as well. A significant amount of effort has gone into finding reliable …
Read More »Two Industrial Mines In Louisiana Turn And Face O&G Buyers In The Haynesville, Austin Chalk, And Marcellus [Exclusive Conversation With CEO]
You probably saw this press release yesterday from Shale Support announcing in-basin M&A. We spoke by phone today with Co-Founder and CEO Kevin Bowen and got the full scoop. In addition to sand specifics, one of the big takeaways for us was that exploratory drilling and completions could heat up …
Read More »Some US Independents Are Chomping At The Bit To Raise 2018 Capex, Permian Pipe Aside [New Datapoints & Research Rewind]
After oil’s 2014 crash, the US shale “popularity pendulum” swung hard against animal spirits, moving in favor of capital discipline. Outspending in shale is now taboo on both Wall Street and Main Street. But is the recent societal shift emblematic of lasting structural change or is it simply cyclical banter? …
Read More »Fully Delivered Frac Sand Has Carved Out A Meaningful Chunk Of E&P Wallet [Chart Of The Day]
In some large tight oil well AFEs these days, the frac sand line item can be as much as a quarter of well cost. Of course there is a lot more involved in shale development capex than just individual well costs. So for this chart of the day exercise, we …
Read More »Permian E&P Breaks The Ice On Takeaway Constraints. Will Unyielding Growth Preconceptions Begin To Change Now?
One week ago, we got the first tangible datapoint on Permian takeaway capacity slowing down the world’s busiest oilfield. That datapoint came on the completions side as C&J slowed their frac spread deployment cadence. Today, we have the first tangible datapoint of an operator cutting back on the drilling side. …
Read More »A Quick Glance At Drilling Rig Productivity With The US Now Just A Tick Away From Cranking Out 11MMbpd
With crude poised to potentially overflow Permian installed takeaway capacity, we thought it’d be worth taking a look at some big picture production vs. rig trends as the feature of this week’s regular rig count update. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To …
Read More »A 12th In-Basin Mine Is Spotted In The Eagle Ford As A Traditional Player Adds Both Northern White And Local Capacity
A 60-year old Northern White sand producer who has been selling proppant for the past 5-10 years is the latest company planning an in-basin frac sand entrance in Texas. We learned more details after conducting an exclusive interview with the company’s president this morning. There’s a lot more to this …
Read More »From Relative Obscurity To Juggernaut: The Maturation Of The Frac Sand Industry [Friday Guest Post]
Business schools often talk about the life cycle of an industry: Introduction, Rapid Growth, Maturity, and, eventually, Decline. While the last 18 months has made it clear we are still in the Rapid Growth phase, much of that growth is also due to the maturation of the industry and the …
Read More »Planned Local Sand Supply Has Surpassed Estimated 2019 Demand In Four Big Basins [Chart Of The Day]
Is the frac sand greenfield rush of 2017/2018 finally over? It’s a question worth asking since each of the Big 4 markets are now flush with planned local sand supply. In the chart below, we compare our total 2019 frac sand demand estimates for four major markets to announced local frac …
Read More »As Schlumberger’s Permian Mine Opens, Management Pulls Back The Curtain A Bit On Frac Sand Strategy
In a slide deck released this morning, Schlumberger provided some interesting comments on frac sand. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are new to Infill Thinking, or …
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