While the majors talk capex in terms of multi-year programs, the Independents that drive the Lower 48 drilling & completion markets are usually reticent to discuss specific year-ahead capex details until budget season (late-4Q / early 1Q). Last week an Independent talked specifics on their 2018 development plan – one …
Read More »The Largest Gas Producer Endorses A Conservative Unconventional Movement In The Shale Gas Revolution [Follow The Leaders]
Infill Thinking’s Follow The Leaders series distills key unconventional E&P strategies into real-time, digestible updates. The goal? Uncover future business opportunities and risks. Today we take a look at a new value creation strategy outlined by the leader in natural gas. The meaning of value creation in shale gas has changed. There’s a lot …
Read More »With US E&P Sentiment Hinging On $45 Crude, A Top Five Pressure Pumper Is Already Pulling Back
Everything seems lined up for an incredible 2H17 for US completion service providers. Everything except for oil prices. In a week of rampant pessimism, our obligatory negative post introduces several new developments you won’t read about anywhere else including what one of the biggest pressure pumpers in the market is telling …
Read More »E&Ps Actually Underspent Budget In Every Major US Onshore Play During 1Q17
We actively monitor spending patterns for approximately 50 public independent operators. With virtually all of their 1Q17 results disclosed over the past week or two, we can now report some detailed insights on what their spending during the first quarter of the year means for the rest of 2017. There’s a lot …
Read More »Key Borrowing Base Survey Is Out. Findings Include Banker Amnesia & Loosening Purse Strings
Along with many others in the industry, we actively monitor the Haynes & Boone Spring borrowing base re-determination survey each year. Released this week, the law firm’s latest survey suggests that bankers have shrugged off the capital destruction left by the downturn’s 120 O&G bankruptcies. There’s a lot more to this …
Read More »How Much Longer Will This Be An Unfair Recovery? The International Outlook Is Being Walked Back.
US tight oil activity continues to recover in a global vacuum. Since the US rig count bottomed in May 2016, international onshore drilling is essentially flat and offshore activity is down 14%. How much longer will this be the case? We share some important charts and describe how the outlook has …
Read More »The Great Permian Migration Continues With SM Energy Deal
The shale industry kicked off the new year with a continuation of the great migration to the Permian Basin. This morning SM Energy announced the sale of its third party operated assets in the Eagle Ford, including its ownership interest in related midstream assets, for $800 million. In this update we …
Read More »Chevron’s 2017 Capex Budget Is Up 45% In The Permian, But Down Most Everywhere Else
Compared to PDC Energy’s budget release earlier this week, Chevron’s 2017 continuing budget cuts are a stark reminder of the divergence theme we first wrote about in early-November. That said, these budget cuts are impacting most every area except one, the Permian. We break down the majors budget for subscribers …
Read More »Ignore The Paper Tiger At The Vienna Circus. Focus On These Five Trends Instead
There’s an OPEC meeting this week, have you heard? In a Google News scan Monday morning, we counted more than 100 articles about OPEC published in the last 24 hours alone. Enough will be written this week about the pageantry in Vienna to fill a small library. Endless speculation leading up …
Read More »Permian Preview: 2017 Capex And Production
The biggest regional contributor to the US Shale Revolt will be the Permian Basin. The Permian is the only unconventional oil play where production has not fallen in the downturn. In fact, Permian production today is up 13% since that fateful OPEC meeting two years ago. Following it’s conventional production …
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